OBSERVED EVIDENCE · EDITION 2026-08-28
Four clocks, kept separate
Every comparison stays inside its own publication cadence. The page does not force daily, weekly and monthly observations onto a false common date.
Edition evidence SHA-256 cdc64def4493b6e8925bed720bdb752af7ea3c61cfb3360c093ff8493310f4f7
10-year real yield
2.34%+0.02 pp from the prior published observation.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FREDe23fa297b997…Broad U.S. dollar
118.06-0.16% from the prior published observation.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FREDaf696e1070f6…Federal Reserve total assets
$6.73tn-0.22% from the prior published observation.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED2798854b1a4e…TRACE THE EDITION
From source rows to reviewed evidence
Use the linked ledgers to distinguish the current Brief edition from the source snapshots underneath it. A hash identifies the retained bytes; it does not turn a retrieval time into an official publication time.
Managed-money net rose while total open interest rose
These are COMEX futures positions and participation, not total investment demand or a directional gold signal.
Personal Income and Outlays — July 2026
Published PCE price-index observations are not consensus surprises, gold-price reactions, causal estimates, forecasts or trading instructions. BEA may revise estimates in later releases and annual updates.
12ee687fefdd…| Indicator | Cadence | Observation | Current | Prior | Change | Source state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year real yield | daily | 2026-08-26 | 2.34% | 2.32% | +0.02 pp | Versioned latest-vintage baseline |
| Broad U.S. dollar | daily | 2026-08-21 | 118.06 | 118.25 | -0.16% | Versioned latest-vintage baseline |
| Federal Reserve total assets | weekly | 2026-08-26 | $6.73tn | $6.75tn | -0.22% | Versioned latest-vintage baseline |
| Managed-money net | weekly | 2026-08-18 | 141,648 | 137,662 | +3986 contracts | Versioned CFTC archive baseline |
Method. Each row compares the latest two observations inside its own official cadence. Daily, weekly and monthly series are not forced onto one timestamp and no missing observation is interpolated.
Limit. This brief describes observed releases and versioned baselines. It does not measure market surprise, prove causation, predict gold prices or provide trading instructions. Latest-vintage macro values may include later revisions.
OPEN SUBSCRIPTION · REVIEWED EDITIONS ONLY
Follow evidence changes without a news feed
Each feed publishes one item only after a reviewed edition enters the immutable archive. It carries changed-source labels, observation clocks, the edition hash, method boundaries and a link that restores the exact edition.
Delivery boundary. These are static public feeds, not email, push notifications or a real-time price alert. No item is created when reviewed source fingerprints remain unchanged.
RETAINED EDITIONS · 5 VERSIONS
What changed between reviewed briefs
Each point is a complete reviewed evidence manifest, not a sampled market price. A source appears as changed only when its retained fingerprint differs from the prior edition.
SELECTED EDITION
2026-08-28
Compared with 2026-08-27.2.
- Evidence change
- Macro baseline · Official release
- Macro observations
- DFII10 2026-08-26 · DTWEXBGS 2026-08-21 · WALCL 2026-08-26
- CFTC positions dated
- 2026-08-18
- Official release first observed
- Aug 27, 2026, 04:52 UTC
- Calendar coverage through
- 2026-12-28
- Macro baseline generated
- Aug 28, 2026, 02:49 UTC
- CFTC baseline generated
- Aug 25, 2026, 10:34 UTC
- GoldObserve review
- Aug 28, 2026, 04:12 UTC
Evidence SHA-256cdc64def4493b6e8925bed720bdb752af7ea3c61cfb3360c093ff8493310f4f7
RETAINED SOURCE CHAIN
src/data/macro-baseline.jsonGenerated 2026-08-28T02:49:59.421ZFile SHA-256 fd49204702cb27adbbd79c7a967fcd8e8a5da5a9367229c833ee2531e3b6f79esrc/data/cftc-gold-futures-only.jsonGenerated 2026-08-25T10:34:05.3993692ZFile SHA-256 672ab5dff0905ca0a82fdc3b2baf33e170e9ae0acf15a57ea0b64479b3b3fc96src/data/gold-market-event-results.jsonReviewed 2026-08-27T04:52:31.245ZFile SHA-256 936554e3b2d418dce1346f98bf47488d9fc16f6200c01b6f85cfad9546c4dfadsrc/data/gold-market-calendar.tsReviewed 2026-08-09T01:17:51.304ZFile SHA-256 0792ff80cc0720ecbc527e14ad6fcc22013c5616d199206e88f3b5fde0785a98src/data/nbu-precious-metals-accounting-daily.jsonDaily local baseline · local-derived-onlyNo redistributed provider file| Edition | Reviewed | Prior edition | Changed evidence | CFTC date | Calendar through | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Aug 28, 2026, 04:12 UTC | 2026-08-27.2 | Macro baseline, Official release | 2026-08-18 | 2026-12-28 | cdc64def4493b6e8… |
| 2026-08-27.2 | Aug 27, 2026, 05:35 UTC | 2026-08-27 | Macro baseline | 2026-08-18 | 2026-12-28 | b936be0a7bf90994… |
| 2026-08-27 | Aug 27, 2026, 04:54 UTC | 2026-08-25 | Macro baseline, Official release, Release calendar | 2026-08-18 | 2026-12-28 | 05801e544dcde3ff… |
| 2026-08-25 | Aug 25, 2026, 10:57 UTC | 2026-08-15 | Macro baseline, CFTC positioning | 2026-08-18 | 2026-12-28 | b139fcd2a81fdbd7… |
| 2026-08-15 | Aug 15, 2026, 00:51 UTC | None retained | Archive origin | 2026-08-11 | 2026-12-28 | b3ec06d4b97b8933… |
Interpretation boundary. A changed fingerprint shows that reviewed evidence changed between editions. It does not identify a cause, measure market impact, or predict a price move.
READING BOUNDARY
Observation is not explanation
A higher real yield, a lower dollar index, a positioning change and an inflation release can occur on different dates and through different mechanisms. This page records those observations together for convenience; it does not claim that one caused the other or that any combination predicts the next gold-price move.
Use the market dashboard for deeper interactive history, the correlation explorer for matched-date relationship tests, the COT report for the full positioning ledger and data sources for provider and revision details.